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  Tuesday, April 16, 2002 
 
 
10 Hottest Certifications for 2002
We put on our Cassandra hats and predict the titles we think will shine brightest next year.
by Becky Nagel

12/5/2001 --

So you want to know what the next big trends in IT certification will be? We don't blame you -- we here at CertCities.com did too. Since we're a plucky bunch (plus, there's all this research lying around our offices that we figured probably should be put to some use), we decided to take this stab at prediciting the 10 hottest certifications for 2002.

By hottest, we're don't mean most popular overall-- frankly, that'd be a little boring, plus you all know what the top certs are anyway. Instead, we're looking at growth, not just in size -- although that's a big part -- but also in reputation and overall gain of industry acceptance. Plus, of course, there's usefulness: What can really make a difference in your career? What will shine brightest?

As mentioned, we've based these rankings on some actual research. First come the results of our annual reader survey, which was conducted by Wilson Research earlier this year. For each title considered, we compared the number of readers who said they had a particular title with the number of readers who said they would be getting that designation within the next 12 months. We then converted the difference in percentage points into a 20 to 1 scale. Therefore, those with the biggest jump next year, according to you, would get a 20, and those with a smallest would get a 1 (only those that showed a positive difference were scaled.)

Still with us? Good. Next, we have the anecdotal evidence, e.g., the "buzz." What are people saying about particular certs? What do our contributing editors think will match well with the current career opportunities out there? What other recognition have these titles achieved recently? We culled the Web, talked to the experts, and then rated titles on a scale of one to 10, 10 being the most compelling.

And that's how we derived our top 10 picks for the hottest certifications for 2002. For each, you'll find our ranking for both reader interest and buzz, as well as the overall score. As for who made the list -- you're bound to find some surprises here. We did.

#10: Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP)
Vendor: ISC2
Category: Security
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 7
Buzz Score (out of 10): 9
Total: 16

Sure, there are plenty of great security certifications out there. But when it comes to reputation, the CISSP leads the pack, and for good reason -- it's far and away the most difficult to achieve. First, candidates must provide documentation that they have three years of hands-on experience in a particular security specialty. Only then are they given the opportunity to battle the title's monster of an exam (six hours to tackle 250 questions covering a broad range of material-study groups, here you come).

So even though not many of you said you're planning to get this certification next year (thus the low reader interest score of 7 out of 20), it still made into our top 10 based on its buzz (a 9 out of 10 - the highest score we gave to any certification on this list). Security is sizzling and will be even hotter in 2002, and certs that are tough to get are always in demand. All of our experts agreed: For those of you who meet this title's requirements, it's impossible to go wrong with the CISSP.

#9: Sun Certified Java Programmer (SCJP)
Vendor: Sun Microsystems
Category: Programming
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 12
Buzz Score (out of 10): 5
Total: 17

Certification isn't nearly as popular among employers in the programming world as it is within networking --- in programming, you'll rarely see a job listing that asks for any kind of cert. Still, coders worldwide spend hours upon hours studying to achieve this Sun title. Maybe it's personal pride. Maybe it's an "insider" club. Whatever, it seems to be working: We recently talked to Sun about the size of its certification program, and while we're not allowed to publish the actual numbers, we can tell you that we were surprised -- for a title you don't hear too much about, its membership is actually quite large. And from what you told us in our reader survey, this title will only continue to grow in 2002.

#8: Citrix Certified Administrator (CCA)
Vendor: Citrix
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 11
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 18

This Citrix title looks like it will be especially popular next year among those of you already Microsoft certified -- and why not? Certification in Citrix's MetaFrame for Windows technology is seen by many to be a perfect complement to Microsoft's MCSE, IT's most popular title.

CertCities.com Contributing Editor Greg Neilson put the CCA near the top of his hot cert picks (as well as his personal to-do list) because the demand for these professionals is much higher than the supply. "We're finding with our clients that Citrix usage is taking off big time, and we don't have enough staff to cover the incoming requests," he told us.

Contributing Editor Hinne Hettema agrees: "One exam gets you on a hell of a number of contracts. 'Are you Citrix-certified? Just what we need.'" However, he cautions, "The issue is really whether you want to be there. Citrix is synonymous with pain." Ouch!

#7: Network+
Vendor: Computer Technology Industry Association (CompTIA)
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 4
Total (out of 30): 20

Sure, for those of you MCSEs and CNEs out there, Network+ has little to offer you -- this entry-level, vendor-neutral networking cert covers only the basics. But it seems to do it well, giving it a solid reputation. And when tied with its sister A+ title, it forms a seemingly natural stepping stone for newbies looking to break into the world of IT.

Will this finally be the year of Net+? Based on your interest level, 2002 shouldn't disappoint, especially now that Microsoft is accepting it as partial elective credit for its new MCSA title. While we don't expect Network+ to overtake its hardware siblings' 450,000-plus anytime soon, we do think its growth in 2002 will finally give A+ a run for its money.

#6: Red Hat Certified Engineer (RHCE)
Vendor: Red Hat
Category: Linux
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 14
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 21

It's no surprise that a Linux certification made it onto our list for 2002 -- as Hettema put it: "Linux is the next big thing -- has been for the past five years." But why the RHCE? Part of it, no doubt, is the company: Red Hat has the highest market share of any Linux distribution. But what we think puts this title on top is the company's crafting of a high-level program that tests hands-on skills, making it difficult to achieve (and impossible to braindump your way through). If you're an RHCE, you most likely know your stuff.

We think this title will get even bigger in 2002 -- especially if Red Hat continues to expand its number of test centers both in the U.S. and internationally. (You wouldn't believe the number of e-mails we get asking for information on RHCE centers in India!)

By the way, if you're not yet ready for something quite as high-level the RHCE (or maybe you prefer a vendor-neutral approach), you might want to try LPI's Linux Certified Professional program. This entry-to-mid-level title just missed making this year's list; we have a feeling we'll see it join its RHCE compatriot here in 2003.

#5: Microsoft Certified Database Administrator (MCDBA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 20
Buzz Score (out of 10): 2
Total: 22

Huh? That's what we said when we saw how well the MCDBA did on our reader survey. This certification showed the highest level of growth between the number of readers who said they currently hold this title and those who said they planned to get it in 2002 (13 percent). There was nothing we could do but give it the best reader score possible (20 out of 20) then call up our experts and find out what was going on.

Turns out you wanna-be MCDBAs may be a quiet bunch, but you're not off-base. "Databases are hot," Contributing Editor Damir Bersinic told us. "Think about it-everything everywhere is in some kind of database, and employers who are looking to hire someone to administer their database, on which their corporate intelligence resides, want some assurances that the individual can perform the basic tasks of a DBA and understands how the database works."

Hettema concurred. "Plus, there's not a lot of them around," he added. "That's why people do this. It's fairly easy to become both MCSE and MCDBA-it gives you the 'boutique' aspect."

We stand corrected.

#4: Cisco Certified Network Professional (CCNP)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 23

This mid-level title from Cisco did well on our reader survey, and it has good buzz, giving it a solid enough score to make it this year's #4 cert. "The CCNP is a stepping stone to [Cisco's CCIE], plus it can provide an employer with a reasonable level of confidence that the holder knows how to configure Cisco routers and understands them quite well," said Bersinic, who put this title at the top of his list for hot certs next year. "The holder of a CCNP may not be able to architect a network, but can certainly administer it."

#3: Cisco Certified Network Associate(CCNA)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 6
Total: 24

The CCNA has a 2000/2001 feel to it, at least for us, but according to our reader survey this title will continue to grow wildly in 2002. Even though 11 percent of you already have this certification, another 20 percent of you plan to get it next year.

Why does the CCNA continue to shoot skyward? "So many people still see working with Cisco products as the path to riches," speculated Neilson.

While it's a good program from a good company, we do think there's a chance it will become overdone in 2002, thus we give it only a moderate buzz score of six. Even so, the title still comes in at number three on our list, and who are we to argue with that?

#2: Oracle Certified Professional -- Database Administrator (OCP DBA)
Vendor: Oracle
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 25

Coming in at #2 on our list (and confirming this year's "databases are hot" theme) is Oracle's OCP DBA program. This one surprised us a little as well, but then again, the OCP program almost tripled in size (from 30,000 to 80,000) in the last year, with much of that growth coming from Oracle's flagship DBA title. "It's one steady go-er," commented Hettema. "There's a lot of Oracle around, and it will continue to be around."

"Because companies are looking to transition to Oracle or SQL Server 2000 from other systems that are fading (Informix, Ingres, etc.), an individual with an OCP DBA or MCDBA certification can at least get their foot in the door," Bersinic commented on the database trend. Even so, he cautions, "They will still need to prove they know what they're talking about."

And the #1 hot cert for 2002 is…..

#1: Microsoft Certified Systems Administrator (MCSA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 8
Total: 26

No surprise here. This new title actually came out after we held our reader survey, so we conducted a poll on CertCities.com to gauge your interest. All we can say is, wow -- are you all into this cert or what? Forty-five percent of you said you were "very interested", and overall, 75 percent of you said you plan to get this cert, either as an end-goal or as a stop on your way to the MCSE.

Looks like Microsoft is making all the right moves with its creation of this mid-level title. While the true impact of the MCSA remains to be seen (will it replace the MCSE as Microsoft's most-wanted title or just simply be a stepping stone?), we feel confident predicting this title as the hottest certification.

So love 'em or hate 'em, there's our site's official picks! Now comes the best part: your turn. What do you think will reign supreme in 2002? Post your comments below. If you'd rather discuss our picks one-on-one, feel free to e-mail us at .


Becky Nagel is the Web editor of CertCities.com. She can be reached at .
Post your comment below, or better yet, go to our Discussion Forums and really post your mind.
Current user Comments for "10 Hottest Certifications for 2002"
2/21/02 - indiarocks  from mumbai says: Juniper is going to screw Cisco royally.Wait and watch.Low cost is Junipers plus while high cost will be Cisco's waterloo.
2/22/02 - Anonymous says: Must agree with 'anonymous' - I thought that CIW would make the top ten. It seems that everywhere I look in the media and on the web someone is talking about it.
2/22/02 - Anonymous says: hmmmm... CISSP harder then GIAC. Well first of all I don't think one is better then the other. Personally I'm going for the "triple header" , i.e. CISSP, CISA AND GIAC. Each one concentrates on a different aspect of security. CISSP is an overall executive view that requires no hands on experience. GIAC is definitely more focused on the technical. CISA is the auditing perspective. I personally didn't find the CISSP or CISA that hard ! For the CISSP I bought the "CISSP PREP GUIDE" from the bookstore and studied , on my spare time, for a month before the 1 exam and passed. For the CISA I bought the a book plus CD from MicroMash. I used their adabptive software for 6 weeks , on spare time, and passed the 1 exam. The GIAC certification , however , I'm expecting it to take me about a year ! To be recognized as a GIAC engineer I've got to complete 6 written assignments and 12 exams before I can even sit for the final exam. The final exam being 16 hours (2 days) of practical , written and group testing ! I was able to pass both my CISSP and CISA and without any need for practical experience (For example I've never configured a corporate firewall or been involved in any system enumeration or pen testing). However I am absolutely certain I will have to have that practical experience before I pass all 6 GIAC courses and obtain GEC !
2/25/02 - Narayani  from Bangalore says: I am keen on knowing the value opf Citrix certification & its benefits in the event the person already holds an MCSE certification
2/25/02 - Newbie  says: I wish I found this article a few weeks ago... http://certcities.com/editorial/features/story.asp?EditorialsID=36
2/25/02 - Kishore  from India says: Well, Oracle (OCP DBA) is still the hottest in the market. 67% of the VLDB are in Oracle. Evern MCSA will now have good pick up as time passes.
2/25/02 - kiran  from India says: I feel MCSA will hot in 2002
2/26/02 - Anonymous says: For all the "experts" that have no real experience, all I have to say is that your days are numbered, if not already over. Practical based exams are going to be the standard very,very soon. The sooner the better. The fact that people like me, who HAVE practical experience and a degree but cant get a job pisses me off. The fact that some moron that goes to Amazon.com, buys a pallet of books and can get a job because of CERTIFICATIONS is abyssmal. It DOES happen, even in this market. For all the HR people out there, how about a real tech interview? Please? If we don't police our own industry, we will be shortening the worth and life our own careers.
2/26/02 - Anonymous says: Anonymous above sounds like sour grapes. If one has a degree + practical experience + certs, you should be able to find a job, unless you live in northern Alaska. Maybe your resume blows, maybe you interview with your lunch on your shirt, who knows? Apparantly, you haven't been to many tech interviews, because any competent hiring manager knows the difference between those who know their stuff and those who try to BS their way through. Don't worry though, because even if the people who buy the pallet of books thinks that is enough is in for a rude awakening if he or she gets the job.
2/26/02 - shuili  from china says: if there is a red hat linux certification organization in china, and where is it?
2/27/02 - Anonymous says: what about these so called bootcamps to get your MCSE? is it worth it to get the certification quickly?
2/28/02 - JohnS  says: I agree totally with Nick-Certification without any IT field experience is totally useless. I have the entry-level A plus certification for 1 12 yrs and can't find anything. It is enough to deal with age bias in trying to find a career change, but many potential employers are biased against people trying to complete a career change. Schools are also missing this fact by not providing opportunities to gain field experience along with training. I am trying to complete a certificate in networking, and may do that within a year. I also may have to pass an MCP test for WIN 2K even though it may not be worthwhile. Does anyone have any other ideas? Any suggestions are welcome.
2/28/02 - IT Sucks  says: As far as I'm concerned, I'm pretty feed up with IT because it's so freakin saturated with people who tries to pursue the career field with little to no experience. Perhaps back in the days it was once hot and certification was the bomb. Now, certs don't mean jack shit. Don't get me wrong, I have a strong background in the technical arena with my latest and greatest in certs in microsoft and what not as well as a degree in MIS. IT is like the gold rush of alaska and now there's nothing left to take.
3/1/02 - Lightning  from TN says: It amazes me that Lotus certifications are not listed here. I know they're hot and offer lots of job opportunities. Citrix is going strong too. As for MCSE, I see little value . . .
3/1/02 - Lightning  from TN says: To JohnS - from someone who's been there - I have CNE 4 and 5, CLS(Lotus)4 and 5, and CCA. My salary jumped significantly with the these - I wouldn't waste my time with Microsoft. They put out so many revs so quickly it's a pain trying to keep up. And yes, these certs without some experience are useless. I started as PC tech and am now well on my way.
3/1/02 - Anonymous says: To Lightning (and others like him or her): You guys are always saying how "certs are useless without experience". I guess for people like yourselves it is OK to have 5 or more certs after your name, but for others without experience it is a waste of time. Sounds hypocrital to me. Then how does one gain this experience that is necessary for the certs to be useful? How does one start out as a "PC Tech" without experience or certifications?
3/1/02 - Beth  says: If a company can find and then be able to afford an experienced IT person, they would hire them. However, if they can't find or afford one, then their next option is to look for Certified Individuals. Then, they know they are getting a certain level of expertise in the subject. So, although companies aren't willing to pay to certify their employees (because they become too valuable and may leave) I do believe they consider Certification in their hiring process.
3/1/02 - Bill  from New York says: It is true , the hottest out there is the MCSA. A lot of peolple out there believe that it replaced the MCSE. Not True! MS wanted the MCSE to mean something again. It is so hard now to get your MCSE that a lot of poeple give up! Now you have something in the middle. This certification gives you the time you need for the experience that is required to go to the next Higher Level , Which is MCSE. It has been a long hard climb, but worth it "all the way"! You can be a paper MCP. You have to start some place! But you will not be a paper MCSA. You will need some experience with the product to get your MCSA. But there is no way, that you will become a MCSE with out a lot of experience! The test are geared with approximately 25% real world in mind. You can't afford not getting the experience. It makes the difference.
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