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  Tuesday, April 16, 2002 
MCP TechMentor Conference and Expo
 
10 Hottest Certifications for 2002
We put on our Cassandra hats and predict the titles we think will shine brightest next year.
by Becky Nagel

12/5/2001 --

So you want to know what the next big trends in IT certification will be? We don't blame you -- we here at CertCities.com did too. Since we're a plucky bunch (plus, there's all this research lying around our offices that we figured probably should be put to some use), we decided to take this stab at prediciting the 10 hottest certifications for 2002.

By hottest, we're don't mean most popular overall-- frankly, that'd be a little boring, plus you all know what the top certs are anyway. Instead, we're looking at growth, not just in size -- although that's a big part -- but also in reputation and overall gain of industry acceptance. Plus, of course, there's usefulness: What can really make a difference in your career? What will shine brightest?

As mentioned, we've based these rankings on some actual research. First come the results of our annual reader survey, which was conducted by Wilson Research earlier this year. For each title considered, we compared the number of readers who said they had a particular title with the number of readers who said they would be getting that designation within the next 12 months. We then converted the difference in percentage points into a 20 to 1 scale. Therefore, those with the biggest jump next year, according to you, would get a 20, and those with a smallest would get a 1 (only those that showed a positive difference were scaled.)

Still with us? Good. Next, we have the anecdotal evidence, e.g., the "buzz." What are people saying about particular certs? What do our contributing editors think will match well with the current career opportunities out there? What other recognition have these titles achieved recently? We culled the Web, talked to the experts, and then rated titles on a scale of one to 10, 10 being the most compelling.

And that's how we derived our top 10 picks for the hottest certifications for 2002. For each, you'll find our ranking for both reader interest and buzz, as well as the overall score. As for who made the list -- you're bound to find some surprises here. We did.

#10: Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP)
Vendor: ISC2
Category: Security
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 7
Buzz Score (out of 10): 9
Total: 16

Sure, there are plenty of great security certifications out there. But when it comes to reputation, the CISSP leads the pack, and for good reason -- it's far and away the most difficult to achieve. First, candidates must provide documentation that they have three years of hands-on experience in a particular security specialty. Only then are they given the opportunity to battle the title's monster of an exam (six hours to tackle 250 questions covering a broad range of material-study groups, here you come).

So even though not many of you said you're planning to get this certification next year (thus the low reader interest score of 7 out of 20), it still made into our top 10 based on its buzz (a 9 out of 10 - the highest score we gave to any certification on this list). Security is sizzling and will be even hotter in 2002, and certs that are tough to get are always in demand. All of our experts agreed: For those of you who meet this title's requirements, it's impossible to go wrong with the CISSP.

#9: Sun Certified Java Programmer (SCJP)
Vendor: Sun Microsystems
Category: Programming
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 12
Buzz Score (out of 10): 5
Total: 17

Certification isn't nearly as popular among employers in the programming world as it is within networking --- in programming, you'll rarely see a job listing that asks for any kind of cert. Still, coders worldwide spend hours upon hours studying to achieve this Sun title. Maybe it's personal pride. Maybe it's an "insider" club. Whatever, it seems to be working: We recently talked to Sun about the size of its certification program, and while we're not allowed to publish the actual numbers, we can tell you that we were surprised -- for a title you don't hear too much about, its membership is actually quite large. And from what you told us in our reader survey, this title will only continue to grow in 2002.

#8: Citrix Certified Administrator (CCA)
Vendor: Citrix
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 11
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 18

This Citrix title looks like it will be especially popular next year among those of you already Microsoft certified -- and why not? Certification in Citrix's MetaFrame for Windows technology is seen by many to be a perfect complement to Microsoft's MCSE, IT's most popular title.

CertCities.com Contributing Editor Greg Neilson put the CCA near the top of his hot cert picks (as well as his personal to-do list) because the demand for these professionals is much higher than the supply. "We're finding with our clients that Citrix usage is taking off big time, and we don't have enough staff to cover the incoming requests," he told us.

Contributing Editor Hinne Hettema agrees: "One exam gets you on a hell of a number of contracts. 'Are you Citrix-certified? Just what we need.'" However, he cautions, "The issue is really whether you want to be there. Citrix is synonymous with pain." Ouch!

#7: Network+
Vendor: Computer Technology Industry Association (CompTIA)
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 4
Total (out of 30): 20

Sure, for those of you MCSEs and CNEs out there, Network+ has little to offer you -- this entry-level, vendor-neutral networking cert covers only the basics. But it seems to do it well, giving it a solid reputation. And when tied with its sister A+ title, it forms a seemingly natural stepping stone for newbies looking to break into the world of IT.

Will this finally be the year of Net+? Based on your interest level, 2002 shouldn't disappoint, especially now that Microsoft is accepting it as partial elective credit for its new MCSA title. While we don't expect Network+ to overtake its hardware siblings' 450,000-plus anytime soon, we do think its growth in 2002 will finally give A+ a run for its money.

#6: Red Hat Certified Engineer (RHCE)
Vendor: Red Hat
Category: Linux
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 14
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 21

It's no surprise that a Linux certification made it onto our list for 2002 -- as Hettema put it: "Linux is the next big thing -- has been for the past five years." But why the RHCE? Part of it, no doubt, is the company: Red Hat has the highest market share of any Linux distribution. But what we think puts this title on top is the company's crafting of a high-level program that tests hands-on skills, making it difficult to achieve (and impossible to braindump your way through). If you're an RHCE, you most likely know your stuff.

We think this title will get even bigger in 2002 -- especially if Red Hat continues to expand its number of test centers both in the U.S. and internationally. (You wouldn't believe the number of e-mails we get asking for information on RHCE centers in India!)

By the way, if you're not yet ready for something quite as high-level the RHCE (or maybe you prefer a vendor-neutral approach), you might want to try LPI's Linux Certified Professional program. This entry-to-mid-level title just missed making this year's list; we have a feeling we'll see it join its RHCE compatriot here in 2003.

#5: Microsoft Certified Database Administrator (MCDBA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 20
Buzz Score (out of 10): 2
Total: 22

Huh? That's what we said when we saw how well the MCDBA did on our reader survey. This certification showed the highest level of growth between the number of readers who said they currently hold this title and those who said they planned to get it in 2002 (13 percent). There was nothing we could do but give it the best reader score possible (20 out of 20) then call up our experts and find out what was going on.

Turns out you wanna-be MCDBAs may be a quiet bunch, but you're not off-base. "Databases are hot," Contributing Editor Damir Bersinic told us. "Think about it-everything everywhere is in some kind of database, and employers who are looking to hire someone to administer their database, on which their corporate intelligence resides, want some assurances that the individual can perform the basic tasks of a DBA and understands how the database works."

Hettema concurred. "Plus, there's not a lot of them around," he added. "That's why people do this. It's fairly easy to become both MCSE and MCDBA-it gives you the 'boutique' aspect."

We stand corrected.

#4: Cisco Certified Network Professional (CCNP)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 23

This mid-level title from Cisco did well on our reader survey, and it has good buzz, giving it a solid enough score to make it this year's #4 cert. "The CCNP is a stepping stone to [Cisco's CCIE], plus it can provide an employer with a reasonable level of confidence that the holder knows how to configure Cisco routers and understands them quite well," said Bersinic, who put this title at the top of his list for hot certs next year. "The holder of a CCNP may not be able to architect a network, but can certainly administer it."

#3: Cisco Certified Network Associate(CCNA)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 6
Total: 24

The CCNA has a 2000/2001 feel to it, at least for us, but according to our reader survey this title will continue to grow wildly in 2002. Even though 11 percent of you already have this certification, another 20 percent of you plan to get it next year.

Why does the CCNA continue to shoot skyward? "So many people still see working with Cisco products as the path to riches," speculated Neilson.

While it's a good program from a good company, we do think there's a chance it will become overdone in 2002, thus we give it only a moderate buzz score of six. Even so, the title still comes in at number three on our list, and who are we to argue with that?

#2: Oracle Certified Professional -- Database Administrator (OCP DBA)
Vendor: Oracle
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 25

Coming in at #2 on our list (and confirming this year's "databases are hot" theme) is Oracle's OCP DBA program. This one surprised us a little as well, but then again, the OCP program almost tripled in size (from 30,000 to 80,000) in the last year, with much of that growth coming from Oracle's flagship DBA title. "It's one steady go-er," commented Hettema. "There's a lot of Oracle around, and it will continue to be around."

"Because companies are looking to transition to Oracle or SQL Server 2000 from other systems that are fading (Informix, Ingres, etc.), an individual with an OCP DBA or MCDBA certification can at least get their foot in the door," Bersinic commented on the database trend. Even so, he cautions, "They will still need to prove they know what they're talking about."

And the #1 hot cert for 2002 is…..

#1: Microsoft Certified Systems Administrator (MCSA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 8
Total: 26

No surprise here. This new title actually came out after we held our reader survey, so we conducted a poll on CertCities.com to gauge your interest. All we can say is, wow -- are you all into this cert or what? Forty-five percent of you said you were "very interested", and overall, 75 percent of you said you plan to get this cert, either as an end-goal or as a stop on your way to the MCSE.

Looks like Microsoft is making all the right moves with its creation of this mid-level title. While the true impact of the MCSA remains to be seen (will it replace the MCSE as Microsoft's most-wanted title or just simply be a stepping stone?), we feel confident predicting this title as the hottest certification.

So love 'em or hate 'em, there's our site's official picks! Now comes the best part: your turn. What do you think will reign supreme in 2002? Post your comments below. If you'd rather discuss our picks one-on-one, feel free to e-mail us at .


Becky Nagel is the Web editor of CertCities.com. She can be reached at .
Post your comment below, or better yet, go to our Discussion Forums and really post your mind.
Current user Comments for "10 Hottest Certifications for 2002"
12/11/01 - Anonymous says: It is apparent that proper grammar and fluency in Engish are not requirements for certification.
12/11/01 - Rupesh  says: Wow I am glad that you include RHCE as one of the hottest certification around.This is my belief that Linux will change all desktops in future as it's free along with lot of features.Consultants will definately love to get certified in linux as they can then provide Almost no initial cost network/IT setup to the businesses.
12/12/01 - Lekan  says: I am glad to see the 2 certifications i intend pursuing this year coming 1st and 2nd on your list. That means i am on the right track.
12/12/01 - Anonymous says: Test
12/12/01 - Brett  MCP, MCSE, MCDBA says: Next on my list will be MCSA, MCSD, OCP. But for Nick to say MCSE is a wast of effort and money is completely wrong. Just look at the want ads and it will be easy to see it is not just a sorry piece of paper. How can you be effective SQL security, Exchange or true Visual Basic applications if you can't understand Active Directory, GPO's, security policies, and Schema modifications. Sorry Nick, but I completely disagree!
12/12/01 - Frederick  says: Correct Brett if nick did his homework he would see that the MCSA only requires four of the seven needed for the MCSE and as an MCSE 2000, A+ and soon to be N+ and MCDBA this career change work hard
12/13/01 - rajat ballav  ballav says: it is very sorry to say u are not given any information regarding cne(certified novell engineer)curriculam.i think cne certification is one of the top leading certification programe in the world.
12/13/01 - Anonymous says: I don't mean to belittle the effort you went through but sure doesn't seem like you put much thought into any of this. This list looks wrong from start to finish. CISSP? While it's true that security is *FINALLY* gaining the notice of CxO's that it long ago deserved, the various GIAC certs from SANS are quickly overtaking CISSP as *the* certs to get for security, mostly because of GIAC is viewed as more "real world" compared to CISSP. As someone else pointed out, where is CIW MCSA as the #1? Uh, did you miss how "diss'd" MCSE's are nowadays? Do you really think people are going to want to pursue a "watered down MCSE" to the point of putting it at #1?
12/13/01 - Ivan  Da Man says: Well there is a very valuable cert that can practically garantee you a job.. and it's "Sun Certified System Administrator" there is a huge demand for people with SUN's skills but I guess the company hasn't done much to promote it.. and it's expenssive like hell to get training for it.. The way to go is What Cisco did with the CCNA program in the networking academies.. Afordable and good training which boost the popularity of the cert... there is a lesson to be learned. Cheers all Ivan Da Man MCSE, CCNA, Network+ .. and oh yeah.. A+
12/13/01 - Nick L  says: The most valuable certs are RHCE Linux, Oracle Applicaton Developer (way underrated) and Sun JAVA in this order, plus a BS degree.
12/14/01 - shoaib  akram says: send me detail information about mcsa, and other latest certifications which is totaly in in the market.
12/14/01 - Matthew  M says: I am not surprised to see that the MCSA is at the top of the list. It fills a market need for a "Real Network Administrator Certification." A very big criticism of the 2000 MCSE is the need for Design Exams, with skills that are not required for most Network Administrators. Linux Certification may put up a good show if a definitive certification can be found for it. It will be interesting to see how the Linux+ certification performs! My next goal is to get OCP certified. cheers
12/14/01 - Ulick  McGee says: honestly its my real name!
12/14/01 - Pete  says: I do quite well as an IT consultant with MCSE, MCDBA, MCSD, A+, Network+, I-Net+, CCNP, MCIW and certified thru IBM, ComPaq and Dell. and yes I have my certs in both NT40 and W2K. CISSP and CCA are both on my list of "things to do this year". Certs AND experience are BOTH required for the big bucks.
12/14/01 - Joe  W. MCSE, A+, Net+, CCT+ says: I was just reading the comments and decided to agree to disagree. The MCSE, however many believe to be inferior, will get you into the door. It is your experience that will show your employer that he didnt make a bad choice in you. I have a few certs but the MCSE is the most recognizable certification in the world. If you have the MCSE, or any Microsoft certification, you will get looked at. You may get looked over but that is the chance we have to make in the IT field. I am currently a Linux Instructor and studying toward the RHCE certification. I believe that it will be the cert to have in the next 3 to 5 years. Any of the certs from CompTia (A+, Network+, Linux+,) are designed to get you looked at...possibly in the door. I urge those that are looking to get into the IT field to get one or more of these certs. Just remember...you need certs PLUS experience to make it in IT. Take care and Merry Christmas!
12/14/01 - Carl  Jinkins says: Novell? I wasn't aware they were still in business.
12/14/01 - Bill  F says: Instead of Vendor and Cert bashing, why don't we all try to find a constructive way to put the intent of the certifications to good use. The one place I see the greatest benefit of the implementation based certification effort is by promoting the symbiotic relationship between MIS/CIS/CompSci "conceptual" education and the implementation bound training for certs. This produces the IT professional capable of hitting the ground running (so to speak) for the organizations hiring entry level college folks. And let's face it, if you were hiring for a company, would you rather hire a "thinker", a "do-er", or a "do-er that's thought about it first"? While we're at it, let's recognize that e-learning is not as much panacea as Pandora's Box, and hunt down and kill the "Used-Car Lot" Training Facilities.
12/14/01 - Anonymous says: You have got to be kidding me saying the GIAC is overtaking CISSP! I have 2 GIAC certs and a CISSP. It was a hell of a lot harder to get the CISSP than the GIAC. The GIAC is a gimmick to get more people to go to the SANS conferences. It's a sales ploy, where the CISSP made me have to learn and try all aspects of security
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