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  Tuesday, April 16, 2002 
MCP TechMentor Conference and Expo
 
10 Hottest Certifications for 2002
We put on our Cassandra hats and predict the titles we think will shine brightest next year.
by Becky Nagel

12/5/2001 --

So you want to know what the next big trends in IT certification will be? We don't blame you -- we here at CertCities.com did too. Since we're a plucky bunch (plus, there's all this research lying around our offices that we figured probably should be put to some use), we decided to take this stab at prediciting the 10 hottest certifications for 2002.

By hottest, we're don't mean most popular overall-- frankly, that'd be a little boring, plus you all know what the top certs are anyway. Instead, we're looking at growth, not just in size -- although that's a big part -- but also in reputation and overall gain of industry acceptance. Plus, of course, there's usefulness: What can really make a difference in your career? What will shine brightest?

As mentioned, we've based these rankings on some actual research. First come the results of our annual reader survey, which was conducted by Wilson Research earlier this year. For each title considered, we compared the number of readers who said they had a particular title with the number of readers who said they would be getting that designation within the next 12 months. We then converted the difference in percentage points into a 20 to 1 scale. Therefore, those with the biggest jump next year, according to you, would get a 20, and those with a smallest would get a 1 (only those that showed a positive difference were scaled.)

Still with us? Good. Next, we have the anecdotal evidence, e.g., the "buzz." What are people saying about particular certs? What do our contributing editors think will match well with the current career opportunities out there? What other recognition have these titles achieved recently? We culled the Web, talked to the experts, and then rated titles on a scale of one to 10, 10 being the most compelling.

And that's how we derived our top 10 picks for the hottest certifications for 2002. For each, you'll find our ranking for both reader interest and buzz, as well as the overall score. As for who made the list -- you're bound to find some surprises here. We did.

#10: Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP)
Vendor: ISC2
Category: Security
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 7
Buzz Score (out of 10): 9
Total: 16

Sure, there are plenty of great security certifications out there. But when it comes to reputation, the CISSP leads the pack, and for good reason -- it's far and away the most difficult to achieve. First, candidates must provide documentation that they have three years of hands-on experience in a particular security specialty. Only then are they given the opportunity to battle the title's monster of an exam (six hours to tackle 250 questions covering a broad range of material-study groups, here you come).

So even though not many of you said you're planning to get this certification next year (thus the low reader interest score of 7 out of 20), it still made into our top 10 based on its buzz (a 9 out of 10 - the highest score we gave to any certification on this list). Security is sizzling and will be even hotter in 2002, and certs that are tough to get are always in demand. All of our experts agreed: For those of you who meet this title's requirements, it's impossible to go wrong with the CISSP.

#9: Sun Certified Java Programmer (SCJP)
Vendor: Sun Microsystems
Category: Programming
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 12
Buzz Score (out of 10): 5
Total: 17

Certification isn't nearly as popular among employers in the programming world as it is within networking --- in programming, you'll rarely see a job listing that asks for any kind of cert. Still, coders worldwide spend hours upon hours studying to achieve this Sun title. Maybe it's personal pride. Maybe it's an "insider" club. Whatever, it seems to be working: We recently talked to Sun about the size of its certification program, and while we're not allowed to publish the actual numbers, we can tell you that we were surprised -- for a title you don't hear too much about, its membership is actually quite large. And from what you told us in our reader survey, this title will only continue to grow in 2002.

#8: Citrix Certified Administrator (CCA)
Vendor: Citrix
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 11
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 18

This Citrix title looks like it will be especially popular next year among those of you already Microsoft certified -- and why not? Certification in Citrix's MetaFrame for Windows technology is seen by many to be a perfect complement to Microsoft's MCSE, IT's most popular title.

CertCities.com Contributing Editor Greg Neilson put the CCA near the top of his hot cert picks (as well as his personal to-do list) because the demand for these professionals is much higher than the supply. "We're finding with our clients that Citrix usage is taking off big time, and we don't have enough staff to cover the incoming requests," he told us.

Contributing Editor Hinne Hettema agrees: "One exam gets you on a hell of a number of contracts. 'Are you Citrix-certified? Just what we need.'" However, he cautions, "The issue is really whether you want to be there. Citrix is synonymous with pain." Ouch!

#7: Network+
Vendor: Computer Technology Industry Association (CompTIA)
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 4
Total (out of 30): 20

Sure, for those of you MCSEs and CNEs out there, Network+ has little to offer you -- this entry-level, vendor-neutral networking cert covers only the basics. But it seems to do it well, giving it a solid reputation. And when tied with its sister A+ title, it forms a seemingly natural stepping stone for newbies looking to break into the world of IT.

Will this finally be the year of Net+? Based on your interest level, 2002 shouldn't disappoint, especially now that Microsoft is accepting it as partial elective credit for its new MCSA title. While we don't expect Network+ to overtake its hardware siblings' 450,000-plus anytime soon, we do think its growth in 2002 will finally give A+ a run for its money.

#6: Red Hat Certified Engineer (RHCE)
Vendor: Red Hat
Category: Linux
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 14
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 21

It's no surprise that a Linux certification made it onto our list for 2002 -- as Hettema put it: "Linux is the next big thing -- has been for the past five years." But why the RHCE? Part of it, no doubt, is the company: Red Hat has the highest market share of any Linux distribution. But what we think puts this title on top is the company's crafting of a high-level program that tests hands-on skills, making it difficult to achieve (and impossible to braindump your way through). If you're an RHCE, you most likely know your stuff.

We think this title will get even bigger in 2002 -- especially if Red Hat continues to expand its number of test centers both in the U.S. and internationally. (You wouldn't believe the number of e-mails we get asking for information on RHCE centers in India!)

By the way, if you're not yet ready for something quite as high-level the RHCE (or maybe you prefer a vendor-neutral approach), you might want to try LPI's Linux Certified Professional program. This entry-to-mid-level title just missed making this year's list; we have a feeling we'll see it join its RHCE compatriot here in 2003.

#5: Microsoft Certified Database Administrator (MCDBA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 20
Buzz Score (out of 10): 2
Total: 22

Huh? That's what we said when we saw how well the MCDBA did on our reader survey. This certification showed the highest level of growth between the number of readers who said they currently hold this title and those who said they planned to get it in 2002 (13 percent). There was nothing we could do but give it the best reader score possible (20 out of 20) then call up our experts and find out what was going on.

Turns out you wanna-be MCDBAs may be a quiet bunch, but you're not off-base. "Databases are hot," Contributing Editor Damir Bersinic told us. "Think about it-everything everywhere is in some kind of database, and employers who are looking to hire someone to administer their database, on which their corporate intelligence resides, want some assurances that the individual can perform the basic tasks of a DBA and understands how the database works."

Hettema concurred. "Plus, there's not a lot of them around," he added. "That's why people do this. It's fairly easy to become both MCSE and MCDBA-it gives you the 'boutique' aspect."

We stand corrected.

#4: Cisco Certified Network Professional (CCNP)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 16
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 23

This mid-level title from Cisco did well on our reader survey, and it has good buzz, giving it a solid enough score to make it this year's #4 cert. "The CCNP is a stepping stone to [Cisco's CCIE], plus it can provide an employer with a reasonable level of confidence that the holder knows how to configure Cisco routers and understands them quite well," said Bersinic, who put this title at the top of his list for hot certs next year. "The holder of a CCNP may not be able to architect a network, but can certainly administer it."

#3: Cisco Certified Network Associate(CCNA)
Vendor: Cisco
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 6
Total: 24

The CCNA has a 2000/2001 feel to it, at least for us, but according to our reader survey this title will continue to grow wildly in 2002. Even though 11 percent of you already have this certification, another 20 percent of you plan to get it next year.

Why does the CCNA continue to shoot skyward? "So many people still see working with Cisco products as the path to riches," speculated Neilson.

While it's a good program from a good company, we do think there's a chance it will become overdone in 2002, thus we give it only a moderate buzz score of six. Even so, the title still comes in at number three on our list, and who are we to argue with that?

#2: Oracle Certified Professional -- Database Administrator (OCP DBA)
Vendor: Oracle
Category: Database
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 7
Total: 25

Coming in at #2 on our list (and confirming this year's "databases are hot" theme) is Oracle's OCP DBA program. This one surprised us a little as well, but then again, the OCP program almost tripled in size (from 30,000 to 80,000) in the last year, with much of that growth coming from Oracle's flagship DBA title. "It's one steady go-er," commented Hettema. "There's a lot of Oracle around, and it will continue to be around."

"Because companies are looking to transition to Oracle or SQL Server 2000 from other systems that are fading (Informix, Ingres, etc.), an individual with an OCP DBA or MCDBA certification can at least get their foot in the door," Bersinic commented on the database trend. Even so, he cautions, "They will still need to prove they know what they're talking about."

And the #1 hot cert for 2002 is…..

#1: Microsoft Certified Systems Administrator (MCSA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Category: Networking
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 18
Buzz Score (out of 10): 8
Total: 26

No surprise here. This new title actually came out after we held our reader survey, so we conducted a poll on CertCities.com to gauge your interest. All we can say is, wow -- are you all into this cert or what? Forty-five percent of you said you were "very interested", and overall, 75 percent of you said you plan to get this cert, either as an end-goal or as a stop on your way to the MCSE.

Looks like Microsoft is making all the right moves with its creation of this mid-level title. While the true impact of the MCSA remains to be seen (will it replace the MCSE as Microsoft's most-wanted title or just simply be a stepping stone?), we feel confident predicting this title as the hottest certification.

So love 'em or hate 'em, there's our site's official picks! Now comes the best part: your turn. What do you think will reign supreme in 2002? Post your comments below. If you'd rather discuss our picks one-on-one, feel free to e-mail us at .


Becky Nagel is the Web editor of CertCities.com. She can be reached at .
Post your comment below, or better yet, go to our Discussion Forums and really post your mind.
Current user Comments for "10 Hottest Certifications for 2002"
1/15/02 - Usama BinLaden  from Kush Mt. Pakistan says: I think MCSE is still good. I got one last year and now I am doing gooder. You not good to talk bad about this Certs. I thinks you should not be like those things you are doing now.
1/16/02 - Sandeep A.S   from INDIA says: Where is the SCSA .I think that also have to be in hot seat .
1/16/02 - keyur shah  from santa clara says: is CCIE certification beyond the scope of this list here? I am sure it is the most saught after certificate. Especially, CCIE security along with CISSP. -keyur shah- CCIE 4799 (Security, Routing and Switching) www.hellocomputers.com
1/16/02 - Faisal Abbas  from Pakistan says: In my opinion the top 5 positions must be filled with the security jobs and out of them Chackpoint citrix Linux must top the list.I wonder why Microsoft is still in the top 10 list
1/17/02 - Mayna  from Seattle, WA says: I think offering certifications in managerial skills will spawn interest and demand for high tech professionals who are sick and tired of seeing long hours and little results. We offer Program Management Certification for results-oriented people in high-tech fields (actually anyone who likes to work efficiently on teams will benefit from our courses). This is a Certification I see growing to be one of the hottest certifications in 2002.
1/17/02 - B.Y. CCNA/MCSE/CNA  from U.S. says: I read there are lots of discussion on this board regarding which cert is hot and which is not. In my personal opinion, I would ask all of you take a moment to look at the I.T. job market out there. Currently it is a begining of Q1 2002. Ression has begun since 08/2001. I.T. budget has been cut across business. First it only affected on Telcom, DotCom, Software R&D business, after 911, it affected all other like auto industries, airlines and even government. The reality is: the number of IT jobs getting reduce and there are lots of laid-off IT professionals out there. In past, employers were looking for certs and experiences. Now, it is a buyer's market. Employers are looking for people who can do Unix, AIX, ThinClient, NT, Exchange, hardware, and management, and all together in $45,000 US max. If one refuse to take this job, many out there will. I got my job during the golden days. Now I am worried: Company could laid me off and replace me with someone who willing to take a pay cut. You might think you are impossible to be replaced becuase you have the laterest certs with the laterest knowledge. But since IT budget has been cut. Companies have slow down their upgrade schedule. My company for example are still using NT 4.0 Server, Exchange 5.5, and NT 4.0 workstations client. and there is no future plan to upgrade to 2000 or XP. So one might have the new skills which no longer need it. At least not for near future. Sometimes while I look at all the certs papers in my office, I wonder: the world is different now, what should I do?
1/17/02 - Mr.   says: The IT job market is picking up. Unfortunately, this will not help the paper certified person. Those who have experience are getting picked up quickly, and those who went to the cert mills and got a worthless piece of paper can look forward to a career in a fast food restaurant. The whole cert craze was an obscene attempt to sell training to those who would benefit least from it, and who could least afford it. In doing this, they caused downward pressure on salaries because companies knew they can hire a paper certified idiot at half the pay.
1/17/02 - Enrique Diaz-Jolly  from Mexico says: I believe that the importance of certification program should'nt be measured just for the amount of people being certified or the amount of users that require such professional. I mean, such easy and cheap as popcorn certifications on extra-expensive software (meaning the real value against commercial price) are in no way as important or valuable as other complete career plans in some high-end software or hardware.
1/18/02 - Old Man  says: Experience, Experience and Experience Certs an asset of course
1/18/02 - Sanjeev Thakur  from INDIA says: definately the MCSA is going to be the no. one certification in this year.correct ratings are given to most of the exams.
1/18/02 - seth  from NC says: I think the list of certifications popularity is very accurate. I'm 21 and working for two of your listed certifications. I am afraid of what it may be like looking for a job while being aware of all the more intimidating certifications.The CCIE is my ultimate goal, but first ILL have to take the CCNA.
1/19/02 - anon  from USA says: Folks who look to certs as an avenue to a career change should ignore comments like those from Mr. and other cert bashers. True, certs are worthless if you "learn" merely to pass the exams but "paper certs" are fine if you bother to actually learn (and retain) the material. I got my first IT job- systems analyst b/c I aced the technical interview and the Sr. analyst thought I was the most trainable candidate. Experience is good but knowledge and ability are what matters.
1/19/02 - one-up-the-bum-no-babies (MA. BSC . CCIE)  says: I earn an unfathomable amount of dough, but I SLEEP with a router as a concubine,have a three port S(witch)for a wife, spew out unintelligible routed protocol stats. in everyday conversation and have the creative aplomb of a dumb terminal.I was a far better adjusted person peddling roadside burgers to hefty truckies in the rain.DON'T DO IT!!!
1/19/02 - farhad  from peshawar Pakistan says: dear sir i am computer teacher and i need Ms office certificate to show my expericnec please help me i can undergo any kind exame any kind test is accepable i am from afghanistan living in peshwar thanks
1/20/02 - intellectual collossus  from Pub says: I drink beer, me...
1/21/02 - Greg. G  says: ound your article on the "10 Hottest Certifications for 2002" most disappointing! Your second paragraph states: "By hottest, we're don't mean most popular overall-- frankly, that'd be a little boring, plus you all know what the top certs are anyway. Instead, we're looking at growth, not just in size -- although that's a big part -- but also in reputation and overall gain of industry acceptance. Plus, of course, there's usefulness: What can really make a difference in your career? What will shine brightest?" This article merely contradicts itself by publishing certifications which are popular according to the number of cert's outstanding and your survey of technicians. Specific examples are noted in the Java Programmer, Microsoft DBA,Cisco and Oracle paragraphs. Where predictions are actually made as to demand, the Citrix paragraph stands-out as being the most informative, and it here merely states one individuals' shortage of supply. This is the first article I have read from your site and have found it lacking in quality and substance. I would also argue that publishing a certification as most popular amongst technicians (supply) without publishing demand by employers is actually a deterrent to getting the cert; if there are that many Certified Java Programmers floating around what good is it?! So - in short - if your purpose was to sell certification services with this article I think you've just shot yourself in the foot!
1/21/02 - Nicola Cahill  from Dublin, Ireland says: I am interested in the MCSA Course.I am a system administrator with no formal training in this arae, and have gained my experience hands-on. Can you e-mail me further information about course content, whether I can do this on-line, cost and location of training colleges in Dublin. Many Thanks.
1/21/02 - Frank  says: I don't agree with some of you. And I'm not going to name names. It practically doesn't matter whether you have the cert or not--it's who you know. My best example to give is a buddy of mine who has no degree, is A+ and Network+ certified, and has 3 MCP certs. He made an impression on someone in a fortune 500 company(the company he worked for at the time had a contract with this 500 company). Now he is working for this fortune 500 company as a lowlevel software exec making great money. Just because he knew someone and is extremely competant and professional in what he does. What P.O.s me is when someone goes to a MCSE boot camp, gets a midmanagement position and doesn't even know how to map a drive in Windows 2000 or NT! That's sad. True not all paper certs guys know what they are doing but not all boot campers do either.
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